Guingamp vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
NAN
4 - 1
GUI
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
GUI
4 - 0
DIJ
53%
25%
23%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
GUI
0 - 2
ASS
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2017 |
ANG
2 - 0
GUI
37%
28%
36%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
LIL
3 - 0
GUI
50%
27%
24%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
MET
1 - 1
TFC
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
LIL
0 - 2
MET
65%
22%
13%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
MET
2 - 1
ASN
42%
28%
31%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
LOR
5 - 1
MET
58%
24%
19%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2017 |
MET
2 - 3
PSG
8%
17%
75%
|
70 | 90 | 20 | 0 |