Guingamp vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
GUI
2 - 0
CHA
75%
17%
8%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
GUI
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
MON
2 - 0
GUI
56%
25%
20%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
GUI
2 - 0
LEN
49%
25%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
DIN
0 - 3
GUI
8%
19%
74%
|
77 | 40 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
LOR
1 - 0
LIL
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
NIC
3 - 1
LOR
42%
27%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
AVR
1 - 0
LOR
18%
22%
61%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
LOR
1 - 2
NAN
51%
26%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2014 |
LOR
0 - 1
ASS
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |