Guingamp vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
48.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
GUI
1 - 2
LYO
20%
22%
58%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
GUI
2 - 2
MON
34%
25%
42%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
GUI
0 - 1
REI
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2019 |
ASN
1 - 2
GUI
16%
20%
64%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
PSG
9 - 0
GUI
87%
10%
4%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
REN
2 - 1
LIL
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2019 |
LIL
4 - 0
NIC
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 2
LIL
47%
25%
29%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2019 |
SÈT
0 - 1
LIL
7%
16%
78%
|
83 | 47 | 36 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
LIL
2 - 1
AMI
63%
23%
15%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |