Guingamp vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
26.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2000 |
SOC
1 - 1
GUI
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2000 |
GUI
0 - 2
FCG
48%
26%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2000 |
LOR
0 - 2
GUI
40%
28%
32%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
GUI
1 - 0
VAL
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
CAN
0 - 2
GUI
31%
29%
40%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2000 |
LIL
1 - 0
AMI
73%
18%
9%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2000 |
LIL
5 - 0
LUS
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2000 |
SOC
2 - 0
LIL
49%
26%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
LIL
1 - 1
FCG
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
LOR
0 - 0
LIL
39%
28%
34%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |