Guingamp vs Evian Thonon Gaillard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
31.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
GUI
0 - 0
STR
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
BAY
0 - 0
GUI
25%
29%
46%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2010 |
GUI
1 - 0
FCR
65%
22%
13%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2010 |
GRE
1 - 2
GUI
54%
25%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
GUI
2 - 4
LOR
26%
27%
47%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
ETG
1 - 2
TOU
57%
25%
18%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2010 |
NAN
0 - 1
ETG
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2010 |
ETG
4 - 0
VAN
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2010 |
MET
0 - 2
ETG
50%
27%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2010 |
STR
2 - 2
ETG
45%
26%
30%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |