Guingamp vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
15%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
ROD
2 - 1
GUI
28%
26%
46%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
LMU
2 - 1
GUI
21%
25%
54%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
GUI
1 - 1
SOC
63%
23%
14%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
ASN
0 - 1
GUI
29%
26%
45%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
GUI
2 - 1
LOR
29%
26%
45%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
NIO
1 - 1
ASN
34%
28%
38%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
AUX
3 - 1
NIO
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
NIO
1 - 0
VAL
31%
28%
41%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
GRE
3 - 1
NIO
48%
27%
24%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
NIO
2 - 0
ORL
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |