Guingamp vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
LES
1 - 2
GUI
11%
19%
71%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
NIC
3 - 1
GUI
50%
25%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
GUI
1 - 1
REN
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
LOR
3 - 1
GUI
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
GIR
3 - 2
GUI
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
ANG
3 - 1
CAE
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 1
CAE
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
NAN
1 - 0
CAE
50%
26%
25%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CAE
3 - 2
LYO
15%
22%
63%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
STG
0 - 3
CAE
5%
12%
83%
|
71 | 41 | 30 | -1 |