Guingamp vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
35.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ETG
2 - 0
GUI
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2014 |
GUI
1 - 2
FIO
24%
26%
51%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
GUI
0 - 1
REN
30%
26%
44%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
LYO
3 - 1
GUI
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
GUI
2 - 0
DNM
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
CAE
1 - 1
MPL
35%
27%
39%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
MON
2 - 2
CAE
58%
24%
19%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
CAE
1 - 2
NAN
41%
28%
31%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
MET
3 - 2
CAE
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
CAE
4 - 3
CLE
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |