Guingamp vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
GAZ
3 - 0
GUI
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
GUI
2 - 2
NAN
48%
27%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
GUI
0 - 0
LIL
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
GUI
65%
21%
15%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 4
GUI
5%
13%
81%
|
77 | 27 | 50 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 2
SOC
64%
22%
14%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 0
MPL
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2016 |
PSG
2 - 0
BAS
79%
14%
7%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
SED
0 - 2
BAS
18%
23%
59%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
BAS
2 - 0
REI
50%
26%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |