Guingamp vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2011 |
ARL
1 - 2
GUI
27%
29%
45%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
GUI
1 - 0
ANG
59%
24%
18%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
LEN
0 - 2
GUI
57%
25%
18%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
GUI
4 - 0
MON
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
AMI
0 - 0
GUI
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
4 - 1
BAS
5%
17%
78%
|
68 | 34 | 34 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 1
GRA
82%
13%
5%
|
68 | 29 | 39 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
STL
1 - 0
BAS
41%
27%
33%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
BAS
3 - 0
ARL
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
BAS
0 - 1
PRO
83%
13%
4%
|
70 | 30 | 40 | -1 |