Guingamp vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
22.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
NIO
1 - 0
GUI
25%
28%
47%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
STR
2 - 1
GUI
41%
29%
31%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
GUI
4 - 0
CAN
67%
21%
13%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
GUI
2 - 2
BAY
79%
15%
6%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2011 |
ORL
1 - 1
GUI
17%
27%
57%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
BAS
0 - 0
CAN
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
STR
1 - 1
BAS
42%
28%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
BAS
4 - 2
BAY
74%
18%
8%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
FCR
0 - 1
BAS
28%
28%
45%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
BAS
0 - 0
ROD
76%
17%
8%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |