Guingamp vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
17.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
BRE
2 - 0
GUI
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
GUI
0 - 0
CAE
30%
26%
45%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
IST
0 - 0
GUI
37%
29%
34%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
TOU
2 - 0
GUI
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
HSV
3 - 1
GUI
67%
22%
12%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 1
NAN
31%
29%
41%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
DIJ
1 - 0
BAS
51%
25%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
BAS
0 - 1
STL
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2009 |
MET
1 - 0
BAS
61%
24%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
BAS
6 - 1
NÎM
46%
27%
28%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +2 |