Guingamp vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
22.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2009 |
REI
0 - 0
GUI
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2009 |
GUI
2 - 0
BRE
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2009 |
GUI
3 - 0
USB
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2009 |
BRE
1 - 1
GUI
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
SAI
1 - 3
GUI
13%
21%
66%
|
70 | 25 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 1
STR
37%
27%
35%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2009 |
ANG
2 - 0
BAS
52%
26%
23%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2009 |
BAS
2 - 1
CLE
44%
26%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2008 |
NÎM
1 - 0
BAS
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2008 |
BAS
6 - 2
AJA
49%
27%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |