Guingamp vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2007 |
REI
3 - 2
GUI
40%
29%
31%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2007 |
GUI
2 - 2
CHA
53%
25%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2007 |
SED
1 - 0
GUI
58%
25%
18%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2007 |
GUI
0 - 2
MPL
54%
25%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2007 |
ANG
2 - 1
GUI
42%
29%
30%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2007 |
BAS
0 - 0
DIJ
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2007 |
NIO
1 - 3
BAS
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2007 |
BAS
0 - 0
GRE
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2007 |
FCL
2 - 4
BAS
36%
27%
38%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2007 |
BAS
0 - 1
NAN
34%
29%
37%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |