Guingamp vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
31.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
MAR
0 - 2
GUI
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
GUI
2 - 0
TRO
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2003 |
GUI
1 - 0
LIL
47%
27%
26%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
SED
2 - 0
GUI
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
MPL
2 - 0
GUI
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
BAS
1 - 1
TRO
56%
24%
20%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
LIL
1 - 1
BAS
42%
28%
31%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
BAS
1 - 1
STR
57%
24%
20%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
LHA
2 - 0
BAS
31%
28%
41%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
BAS
1 - 1
NIC
61%
23%
17%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |