Guingamp vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
25.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
ASS
4 - 0
GUI
61%
23%
17%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1995 |
GUI
1 - 0
GIR
22%
27%
51%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1995 |
LIL
0 - 3
GUI
55%
25%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 1995 |
GUI
0 - 0
NIC
50%
27%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1995 |
PSG
1 - 1
GUI
80%
13%
7%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
BAS
1 - 2
FCG
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
ASS
3 - 0
BAS
52%
26%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 1995 |
BAS
2 - 1
MON
30%
27%
43%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 1995 |
BAS
2 - 0
GIR
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 1995 |
LIL
0 - 2
BAS
49%
28%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |