Guingamp U19 vs SA Mérignac U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
37.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
7º
14º
8º
27
6º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
64.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
74% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
74% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
56% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
89% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
89% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
VER
0 - 3
GUI
28%
23%
49%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
GUI
1 - 3
AVR
32%
24%
44%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 0
GUI
45%
23%
32%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
GUI
1 - 2
BOR
35%
25%
41%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
GUI
0 - 2
ANG
22%
23%
55%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
SA Mérignac U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 0
CON
64%
19%
17%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 4
LAV
30%
22%
48%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
VER
0 - 1
SAM
21%
20%
59%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 2
AVR
43%
23%
34%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 3
SAM
47%
21%
32%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |