Guingamp U19 vs Lorient U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
35.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
3º
2º
40
3º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 64 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
43 | 49 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 48 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
40 | 47 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 40 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 39 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 32 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 24 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 21 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 16 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
49.5% | 15% |
|
Mid-table
|
50.5% | 85% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
STA
0 - 1
GUI
48%
24%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ANG
2 - 1
GUI
39%
25%
36%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
GUI
3 - 0
AVR
62%
21%
18%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
TOU
1 - 2
GUI
18%
21%
61%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
LAV
1 - 1
GUI
36%
25%
40%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
LOR
4 - 1
BER
79%
13%
8%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
LAV
5 - 2
LOR
29%
22%
49%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
LOR
0 - 0
SRS
82%
11%
7%
|
39 | 12 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
REN
0 - 1
LOR
41%
22%
37%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
LOR
4 - 4
SCB
78%
13%
9%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |