Guingamp II vs Vannes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
8º
3º
32
4º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 43 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
89% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
|
8º
|
32 | 34 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
85% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
6% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
94% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
USF
2 - 2
GUI
24%
24%
53%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
GUI
2 - 1
PLA
77%
16%
8%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ERG
1 - 3
GUI
26%
25%
50%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
GUI
0 - 1
LOR
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
SAI
2 - 3
GUI
17%
22%
61%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Vannes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
VAN
1 - 1
CES
56%
20%
24%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
AFV
2 - 0
VAN
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
VAN
2 - 1
PON
45%
23%
32%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
VAN
1 - 2
FLE
69%
16%
14%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
USF
3 - 2
VAN
28%
23%
50%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |