Guingamp II vs FC Rouen 1899 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
49.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
3º
12º
12º
69
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
95% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
95% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 46 |
5º
|
65.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
11º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 28 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
52.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
47.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SAI
2 - 1
GUI
47%
25%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
POI
1 - 0
GUI
42%
26%
33%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
GUI
2 - 1
BLO
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
STA
1 - 1
GUI
31%
26%
44%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
GUI
3 - 2
ASB
39%
27%
34%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
FC Rouen 1899
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FCR
4 - 3
CAE
76%
17%
7%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FCR
4 - 1
SAI
59%
25%
17%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
FCR
2 - 1
GRA
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
POI
0 - 3
FCR
28%
27%
45%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FCR
2 - 1
BLO
64%
22%
14%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |