Guingamp II vs RC France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
67.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
3º
12º
12º
56
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
95% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
95% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 46 |
5º
|
65.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
11º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 28 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
52.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
47.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 2
GUI
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
GUI
3 - 1
VOL
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
STP
2 - 0
GUI
57%
23%
19%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
GUI
2 - 2
CAE
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GUI
0 - 1
GRA
33%
26%
42%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
RC France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
RAC
4 - 1
SAI
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
FCR
2 - 2
RAC
16%
22%
63%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
RAC
2 - 1
POI
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BLO
2 - 1
RAC
12%
19%
69%
|
74 | 43 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
RAC
5 - 1
STA
76%
17%
7%
|
74 | 37 | 37 | 0 |