Guingamp II vs Lorient II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
43.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
8º
3º
49
1º
12º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 43 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
89% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 34 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
85% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
6% | 70.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
94% | 29.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
SAI
2 - 3
GUI
17%
22%
61%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
GUI
1 - 1
LAN
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
GUI
1 - 1
STA
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
GUI
1 - 1
SPM
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
FLE
0 - 2
GUI
27%
25%
49%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
LOR
1 - 0
CES
64%
21%
16%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
AFV
3 - 4
LOR
35%
26%
39%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
LOR
1 - 3
PON
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
VAN
0 - 1
LOR
24%
24%
53%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
LOR
2 - 1
USF
77%
16%
8%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |