Guinea U23 vs Nueva Zelanda U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.3%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.4%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
79.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
17.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.7%
0-3
13.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
16.8%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+198%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
ARG
0 - 1
GUI
82%
12%
6%
|
9 | 73 | 64 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
IDN
0 - 1
GUI
89%
9%
2%
|
7 | 47 | 40 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
USA
3 - 0
GUI
81%
13%
6%
|
8 | 61 | 53 | -1 |
Matches
Nueva Zelanda U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
UZB
3 - 1
NZL
41%
23%
36%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
NZL
2 - 1
CHN
46%
22%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
NZL
2 - 0
CHN
41%
23%
37%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
JPN
0 - 0
NZL
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
ROU
0 - 0
NZL
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |