CAF U20 Preliminary stages Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Guinea U20 vs Mauritania U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
14.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
MTN
1 - 0
GUI
18%
23%
60%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2017 |
GUI
0 - 5
ARG
8%
18%
74%
|
48 | 79 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2017 |
ENG
1 - 1
GUI
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
KOR
3 - 0
GUI
74%
16%
9%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
RSA
1 - 2
GUI
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Mauritania U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
MTN
1 - 0
GUI
18%
23%
60%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 0
MTN
81%
14%
6%
|
33 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
MTN
2 - 0
MAR
9%
19%
72%
|
30 | 59 | 29 | +3 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
BHR
2 - 1
MTN
72%
18%
10%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
USA
1 - 0
MTN
77%
16%
6%
|
31 | 62 | 31 | -1 |