Equatorial Guinea vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
64.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
EQG
2 - 1
SEN
8%
20%
72%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
EQG
1 - 0
LBY
19%
26%
55%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
EQG
0 - 0
RSA
11%
19%
70%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
MAD
2 - 1
EQG
29%
24%
46%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
EQG
2 - 0
MAD
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
LBY
2 - 2
ZAM
36%
25%
39%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
SEN
1 - 2
ZAM
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
ZAM
0 - 0
NAM
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ANG
1 - 0
ZAM
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2011 |
IND
0 - 5
ZAM
19%
24%
57%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | +1 |