Equatorial Guinea vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
65.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
TAN
2 - 1
EQG
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CGO
1 - 0
EQG
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
EQG
2 - 2
CGO
22%
24%
54%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
EQG
1 - 0
SSD
59%
22%
20%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
SSD
1 - 1
EQG
14%
17%
69%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
TUN
4 - 1
LBY
66%
23%
12%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
LBY
1 - 2
TUN
26%
27%
47%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
TUN
0 - 0
CMR
45%
28%
28%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
TUN
1 - 0
LBY
65%
22%
12%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
TUN
1 - 2
CIV
37%
27%
36%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |