Equatorial Guinea vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
67.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
CPV
3 - 0
EQG
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
EQG
0 - 1
TOG
32%
26%
42%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
EQG
0 - 3
CPV
29%
27%
44%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
EQG
2 - 1
COD
22%
24%
55%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
COD
4 - 0
EQG
71%
17%
12%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
SLE
2 - 2
TUN
19%
26%
56%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
TUN
2 - 1
SLE
71%
19%
10%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
TOG
1 - 1
TUN
12%
21%
67%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
CIV
3 - 0
TUN
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2013 |
TUN
1 - 0
ALG
61%
23%
16%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |