Equatorial Guinea vs South Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
38.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2018 |
KEN
1 - 0
EQG
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
EQG
1 - 3
NGA
18%
28%
54%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
RWA
1 - 0
EQG
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2018 |
LBY
3 - 0
EQG
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
SEN
3 - 0
EQG
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
LBY
1 - 1
SDN
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
SDN
0 - 1
NGA
21%
28%
51%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
ZAM
0 - 1
SDN
70%
20%
10%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SDN
0 - 0
MAR
21%
27%
52%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
SDN
1 - 0
MTN
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |