African WC Qual. First Round Final
Global 2-1
Equatorial Guinea vs South Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
SSD
1 - 1
EQG
14%
17%
69%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
EQG
2 - 1
CHA
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
CHA
3 - 3
EQG
24%
21%
55%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2019 |
KSA
3 - 2
EQG
77%
17%
7%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
SDN
1 - 4
EQG
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
SSD
1 - 1
EQG
14%
17%
69%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
SSD
1 - 2
BDI
16%
19%
65%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
BDI
2 - 0
SSD
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
MLI
3 - 0
SSD
83%
13%
5%
|
47 | 76 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
SSD
2 - 5
BDI
18%
20%
62%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |