Equatorial Guinea vs South Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 1
EQG
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
EQG
0 - 1
MLI
17%
23%
61%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
MLI
1 - 0
EQG
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
EQG
1 - 0
MAR
17%
25%
59%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 0
EQG
72%
19%
9%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
SSD
0 - 3
MLI
15%
21%
64%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
BEN
4 - 1
SSD
60%
20%
19%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
SSD
1 - 2
BEN
25%
22%
53%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
MTN
4 - 0
SSD
39%
25%
37%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
SSD
1 - 1
MTN
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |