Equatorial Guinea vs Mauritania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
38.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
TUN
3 - 0
EQG
76%
17%
7%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
TUN
2 - 1
EQG
77%
17%
7%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
EQG
1 - 0
TAN
38%
27%
36%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
EQG
1 - 0
LBY
24%
25%
51%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
LBY
2 - 3
EQG
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Mauritania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
MTN
1 - 2
ZAM
22%
26%
53%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
MTN
2 - 0
YEM
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2021 |
MTN
1 - 0
LBR
44%
26%
31%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
ALG
4 - 1
MTN
83%
12%
5%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
CTA
0 - 1
MTN
8%
16%
76%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | 0 |