Equatorial Guinea vs Guinea-Bissau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
EQG
1 - 0
GAM
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
EQG
2 - 0
CHA
65%
21%
15%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
EQG
0 - 2
BOT
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 1
EQG
89%
9%
3%
|
58 | 87 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
EST
3 - 0
EQG
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Guinea-Bissau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
UGA
2 - 0
GNB
75%
16%
10%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
GNB
0 - 1
UGA
21%
22%
57%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
GNB
3 - 1
GAM
28%
25%
47%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2010 |
CPV
2 - 1
GNB
67%
19%
14%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
ANG
1 - 0
GNB
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |