Equatorial Guinea vs Gabon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
49.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
SEN
3 - 0
EQG
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
LBN
1 - 1
EQG
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
EQG
4 - 0
SSD
53%
24%
24%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 1
EQG
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
EQG
0 - 1
MLI
17%
23%
61%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
MLI
2 - 1
GAB
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
GAB
0 - 0
ZAM
33%
28%
39%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
GUI
2 - 2
GAB
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CMR
0 - 0
GAB
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
GAB
1 - 1
BFA
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |