Equatorial Guinea vs Gabon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
45%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2007 |
CGO
2 - 1
EQG
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
CMR
3 - 0
EQG
88%
9%
3%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
EQG
2 - 1
LBR
58%
22%
21%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
EQG
2 - 0
BEN
56%
23%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
EQG
4 - 2
GAB
30%
24%
46%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
CGO
2 - 2
GAB
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
MAR
6 - 0
GAB
68%
21%
11%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
CIV
5 - 0
GAB
75%
17%
9%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
GAB
4 - 0
MAD
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2006 |
ALG
0 - 2
GAB
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |