Equatorial Guinea vs Chad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
CHA
3 - 3
EQG
24%
21%
55%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2019 |
KSA
3 - 2
EQG
77%
17%
7%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
SDN
1 - 4
EQG
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
EQG
0 - 1
SEN
12%
24%
64%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
MAD
1 - 0
EQG
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
CHA
3 - 3
EQG
24%
21%
55%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 1
TAN
31%
23%
46%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
EGY
4 - 0
CHA
94%
5%
1%
|
53 | 86 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 0
EGY
8%
16%
76%
|
52 | 86 | 34 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
GAB
0 - 1
CHA
77%
15%
7%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | +1 |