Equatorial Guinea vs Algeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
62.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
LBR
1 - 2
EQG
14%
20%
66%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
EQG
1 - 0
LBR
64%
23%
14%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
EQG
2 - 2
TOG
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
ALG
2 - 0
EQG
79%
14%
7%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
EQG
1 - 0
MWI
56%
26%
18%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
TOG
0 - 1
ALG
12%
21%
68%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
ALG
5 - 1
TOG
87%
10%
3%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
LBR
0 - 3
ALG
11%
20%
70%
|
86 | 54 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
ALG
2 - 0
EQG
79%
14%
7%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
UGA
1 - 2
ALG
14%
23%
63%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |