CHAN Qualifying Final
Global 1-2
Equatorial Guinea vs Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
TOG
3 - 0
EQG
30%
25%
45%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
EQG
0 - 0
ALG
14%
23%
62%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
LBR
1 - 2
EQG
14%
20%
66%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
EQG
1 - 0
LBR
64%
23%
14%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
EQG
2 - 2
TOG
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
CGO
0 - 1
UGA
27%
26%
47%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
SSD
3 - 2
CGO
17%
20%
64%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
CGO
1 - 1
RSA
11%
19%
70%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
RSA
5 - 0
CGO
71%
20%
10%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
UGA
2 - 0
CGO
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |