Equatorial Guinea vs Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
53.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
EQG
1 - 0
SSD
59%
22%
20%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
SSD
1 - 1
EQG
14%
17%
69%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
EQG
2 - 1
CHA
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
CHA
3 - 3
EQG
24%
21%
55%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2019 |
KSA
3 - 2
EQG
77%
17%
7%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
ZIM
2 - 0
CGO
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CGO
1 - 1
COD
28%
25%
47%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
LBR
2 - 1
CGO
11%
16%
73%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
CGO
3 - 1
LBR
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CGO
1 - 1
ZIM
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |