Guilsfield FC vs Gresford Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guilsfield FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
GUI
4 - 1
DEN
49%
23%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
GUI
2 - 2
CAE
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
GUI
4 - 0
POR
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
LLA
1 - 4
GUI
12%
17%
72%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
GUI
2 - 3
LLA
54%
23%
24%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Gresford Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 2
RTW
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
MOL
1 - 0
GRE
67%
18%
15%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
DEN
2 - 5
GRE
71%
17%
12%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 4
FLI
11%
20%
68%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
POR
0 - 1
GRE
37%
23%
40%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |