Guilsfield FC vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
29.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guilsfield FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
HOL
1 - 0
GUI
28%
24%
48%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 2
MOL
82%
13%
5%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 1
GUI
23%
23%
54%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
GUI
4 - 0
BUC
71%
17%
11%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
GUI
3 - 1
FLI
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
CEF
4 - 0
GRE
69%
19%
13%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
HOL
1 - 1
CEF
46%
23%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
DEN
3 - 1
CEF
40%
24%
36%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -3 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CAE
1 - 6
CEF
16%
20%
64%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CEF
1 - 0
FLI
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +2 |