Guillermo Brown vs Unión Mar del Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2010 |
HUR
1 - 2
GBR
33%
28%
39%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
GBR
4 - 1
CIP
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
GBR
2 - 0
RIV
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
RSA
0 - 0
GBR
44%
26%
31%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
GBR
3 - 0
VIL
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Mar del Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
UNI
4 - 0
DHA
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 1
UNI
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 1
HUR
45%
26%
30%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
CIP
1 - 1
UNI
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 0
RIV
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |