Guillermo Brown vs Real Arroyo Seco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
CIP
0 - 0
GBR
64%
21%
16%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
GBR
2 - 1
DHA
72%
18%
11%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
GBR
3 - 0
PLA
67%
19%
14%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
RAS
1 - 2
GBR
30%
25%
44%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
GBR
2 - 1
JUV
72%
17%
11%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Arroyo Seco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
RAS
3 - 0
RSA
32%
27%
41%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
PLA
0 - 0
RAS
55%
24%
22%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
RAS
1 - 2
RIV
38%
26%
37%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
GIM
0 - 0
RAS
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
RAS
1 - 0
DHA
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |