Guillermo Brown vs Juventud Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2013 |
ALV
1 - 0
GBR
22%
25%
53%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
GBR
2 - 2
MAI
60%
23%
18%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
GBR
4 - 3
CIP
59%
22%
18%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
GBR
1 - 0
BRG
87%
10%
3%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
RSA
4 - 0
GBR
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Juventud Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2013 |
JUU
0 - 0
RSA
33%
27%
39%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2013 |
DFR
1 - 1
JUU
40%
28%
33%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2012 |
JUU
3 - 0
UNI
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
DES
1 - 1
JUU
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
JUU
1 - 1
GIM
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |