Guillermo Brown vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
GBR
2 - 0
HUR
76%
16%
9%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2011 |
CEN
0 - 2
GBR
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
GBR
2 - 0
SPB
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
TAL
1 - 5
GBR
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
GBR
3 - 2
UNI
53%
24%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
TFE
1 - 1
MER
51%
26%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
MER
3 - 2
ATT
31%
30%
40%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
INS
1 - 2
MER
54%
27%
19%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
MER
2 - 2
BUC
30%
28%
42%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
IRV
0 - 1
MER
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |