Guillermo Brown vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
27.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2022 |
SMA
1 - 0
GBR
61%
24%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
GBR
1 - 0
SUA
52%
27%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
AGR
1 - 1
GBR
54%
27%
19%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
GBR
2 - 0
INS
31%
29%
41%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SAC
0 - 0
GBR
36%
29%
35%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
DEF
2 - 0
CHA
40%
29%
31%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2022 |
BRO
0 - 0
DEF
53%
27%
20%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
DEF
0 - 0
SMA
22%
29%
49%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SUA
0 - 2
DEF
42%
29%
29%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
DEF
0 - 0
AGR
26%
30%
44%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |