Guillermo Brown vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.8%
30.7%
Draw
0-0
13.5%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.7%
38.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
STM
1 - 2
GBR
48%
28%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
GBR
1 - 1
DAL
42%
29%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
SMA
0 - 0
GBR
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
GBR
0 - 3
BRO
37%
30%
33%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
ALB
3 - 0
GBR
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
DEF
2 - 0
RAF
42%
29%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
IRV
1 - 1
DEF
35%
30%
35%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 0
BAR
46%
30%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
INS
0 - 2
DEF
44%
29%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
GIM
1 - 3
DEF
35%
33%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |