Guillermo Brown vs Sportivo Desamparados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
GBR
1 - 0
GIM
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
RAO
2 - 1
GBR
17%
24%
59%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
GBR
2 - 1
RIV
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
JUU
3 - 0
GBR
24%
25%
51%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
GBR
1 - 0
ALV
71%
19%
11%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Desamparados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
RSA
1 - 1
DES
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
DES
2 - 0
DFR
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 2
DES
33%
28%
39%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
DES
2 - 1
CIP
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
DES
2 - 2
GIM
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |