Guillermo Brown vs Sportivo Desamparados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 2
GBR
45%
28%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
GBR
2 - 0
PAT
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
CEN
2 - 2
GBR
58%
25%
17%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
GBR
0 - 2
ATT
46%
26%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
ALD
5 - 0
GBR
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sportivo Desamparados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
DES
2 - 2
GIM
26%
30%
44%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
INS
1 - 1
DES
61%
25%
14%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
DES
2 - 0
ATL
30%
28%
41%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
GLP
1 - 1
DES
74%
18%
8%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
DES
1 - 2
DYJ
26%
28%
46%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |