Guillermo Brown vs Sportivo Desamparados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
CAA
3 - 0
GBR
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
GBR
1 - 0
HUR
42%
27%
32%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2010 |
JUU
1 - 1
GBR
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
GBR
3 - 0
MAI
37%
28%
36%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
EST
1 - 1
GBR
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Desamparados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
DES
0 - 1
HUR
37%
29%
34%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
JUU
0 - 2
DES
50%
25%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
DES
3 - 1
MAI
35%
29%
36%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
EST
5 - 2
DES
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2010 |
DES
2 - 1
CIP
28%
29%
43%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |