Guillermo Brown vs Alvarado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MAI
4 - 2
GBR
33%
28%
40%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CIP
2 - 1
GBR
35%
26%
39%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
GBR
1 - 1
RSA
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
DFR
0 - 0
GBR
17%
24%
59%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
GBR
1 - 3
UNI
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ALV
2 - 0
RSA
30%
29%
41%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
DFR
1 - 0
ALV
44%
26%
29%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
ALV
2 - 1
UNI
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
DES
1 - 1
ALV
62%
23%
15%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ALV
2 - 1
GIM
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |